Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.017137 0.019978 0.023116 0.026835 0.031120 0.035898 0.041626
2025-11-16 0.012705 0.016323 0.020694 0.026350 0.033458 0.042081 0.053319
2025-11-23 0.009587 0.013418 0.018424 0.025412 0.034881 0.047225 0.064491
2025-11-30 0.008063 0.012164 0.017902 0.026460 0.038829 0.055976 0.081448
2025-12-07 0.006632 0.010712 0.016789 0.026407 0.041137 0.062706 0.096504
2025-12-14 0.005355 0.009217 0.015308 0.025490 0.041932 0.067237 0.108848
2025-12-21 0.004499 0.008207 0.014371 0.025202 0.043549 0.073082 0.123788
2025-12-28 0.004102 0.007884 0.014474 0.026578 0.047973 0.083800 0.147700
2026-01-04 0.003671 0.007418 0.014242 0.027314 0.051361 0.093154 0.170391
2026-01-11 0.003111 0.006603 0.013250 0.026519 0.051903 0.097642 0.185142
2026-01-18 0.002709 0.006024 0.012599 0.026241 0.053309 0.103748 0.203373
2026-01-25 0.002306 0.005368 0.011692 0.025319 0.053335 0.107273 0.217159
2026-02-01 0.001983 0.004831 0.010959 0.024666 0.053859 0.111900 0.233805
2026-02-08 0.001758 0.004476 0.010549 0.024627 0.055622 0.119137 0.256400
2026-02-15 0.001519 0.004039 0.009895 0.023956 0.055954 0.123522 0.273729
2026-02-22 0.001431 0.003955 0.010023 0.025059 0.060283 0.136645 0.310646
2026-03-01 0.001284 0.003697 0.009701 0.025067 0.062150 0.144730 0.337693
2026-03-08 0.001111 0.003333 0.009065 0.024224 0.061932 0.148221 0.355054
2026-03-15 0.000990 0.003088 0.008689 0.023965 0.063058 0.154830 0.380101
2026-03-22 0.000954 0.003078 0.008919 0.025285 0.068215 0.171241 0.429391
2026-03-29 0.000893 0.002986 0.008916 0.025991 0.071916 0.184619 0.472937
2026-04-05 0.000784 0.002722 0.008399 0.025235 0.071756 0.188701 0.494617
2026-04-12 0.000705 0.002539 0.008077 0.024971 0.072856 0.195986 0.524899